The sad truth of the matter is we have two crappy things protecting us from a conflict on a catastrophic level. First is our fragile and interlinked global economy, which for all its inequalities means countries are far more reliant on one another to function. Secondly is the fact that certain countries have weapons of mass destruction, so powerful they could wipe us all off the face of the planet in the blink of an eye, leaving nothing more than an ash covered wasteland. Again, for all their evils, they are weapons that keep us in, at present, a stalemate. It’s probably more this than anything else that keeps us covered in that veneer of peaceful enlightenment.
I find myself constantly amazed that journalists and politicians seem to show no consideration for the history of the region when weighing in on the subject, and it’s the word consideration I’m focussing on here. Sure, they might have some knowledge on the history, but I question how far they go or how they process this information. So, in response, I’m going to try and provide a brief history based view of the conflict and the area.
Whose land is it anyway?
Up until the late 1700’s, this region was part of a state known as the Crimean Khanate. Its rulers (or Khans) were decedents of Genghis Khan, that infamous Mongolian warlord, and it was primarily inhabited by Crimean Tatars, ethically Turkic and primarily Muslim. It’s no surprise that this state had close ties with and was a vassal state of the Ottoman Empire for around 300 years.
It wasn’t until 1783 that this area was annexed by Catherine the Great’s Russian Empire under the terms of the Treaty of Küçük Kaynarca. The two centuries that followed inevitably saw repeated conflicts between the competing factions, often over this disputed land. The most bloody and costly of these was during World War One, the Ottoman Empire’s first major operation aimed at regaining the Caucusses and Crimea from their long time foes. It wasn’t until after the First World War, which saw the complete dismantling and carving up of the Ottoman Empire amongst the victorious Entente Powers, that these competing claims to the land ceased.
(Interestingly, Turkey was the only nation of the central powers to be completely occupied by the Entente Powers after The Great War. Russia wasn’t included in this, having pulled out of the war in 1917 during the Russian Revolution, which saw the execution of the last Tsar (Emperor) and the establishment of the communist, USSR)
By the time of the 1897census many Ukrainians and, especially, Russians had begun to move into the area. Still, the largest group still remained the Crimean Tatars. This remained the case until the Soviet purges saw the starvation and systematic murder of hundreds of thousands of their community. By the time of the 1959 census, Crimean Tatars are recorded to have made up 0% of the population.
Now, however, some of those that did survive have moved back to the area. They were not granted the land they lost by the USSR (nor later by the Ukrainian authorities) and since the re-annexation of the area by Russia, it’s been reported that Crimean Tatars fear introduction of repressive and discriminatory laws. It’s now been reported that the Crimean Tatars are to be ‘moved on’ from their homes, with Crimean authorities using the excuse that the land must be used for ‘social purposes’. Where to, exactly, is unknown.
Not much has been reported about the plight of this ethnic minority during this mess, who were once the overwhelming majority in the area. While it has been reported that the Crimean Tatars are more in favour of Ukrainian rule, it’s not so much of a case of the good against the bad, but rather the bad and the worse. Since many Crimean Tatars haven’t been issued legal documentation for the land, they are being told they are legally squatting, meaning they can be forced to move on.
The point is that this is a conflict between governments over land which is, essentially, colonial land. It’s the same as all the lands around the world that European settlers occupied, ransacked and called their own, wiping out the indigenous populations. So, the problem here is it does actually put it on par with our own, British dominions, like the Falklands and Gibraltar.
Self-determination
Although the demonstration and removal of Ukraine’s former president does seem to have been a popular move, there are naturally people that are unhappy about it. However, the west hasn’t stepped in to protect those minorities. Rather they have moved in to support this new, interim government. This is fair enough, since a nation’s people have the fundamental right to self-determination, and majority rule is fairest in the state systems that we are subject to.
The problem is you then can’t decide one group is entitled to self-determination, and one group is not. The current demographic in Russia lists ethnic Russians as overwhelmingly the majority in that region. You have to also take into account that the land mass making up the Crimea, having passed hands so many times over the centuries, was given to Ukraine in the 50’s, so it’s attachment to the country is only very young.
The current demographics in lands colonised by westerners are always granted the right to self-determination. Two obvious examples would be the Americas and Australia, along with for Spanish decedents in South America. Two other good examples can also be found in the two Crown Dependencies of Gibraltar and The Falkland Islands. Now, while the Falklands were essentially found as a set of barren rocks, fought over by British, Spanish, French and Dutch colonialists, Gibraltar has a very mixed demographic, though with British as, minorly, the dominant one.
Gibraltar has twice in recent history chosen by referendum to remain a British dependency, over Spanish sovereignty. This is despite Spain claiming the land itself is its territory. This is no different to the Russian inhabitants of the Crimea saying that they want to be part of Russia, over Ukraine’s purely territorial claims.
Self-determination must win out.
Self-determination at the barrel of a gun
As far as Russia is concerned, the international community is already in collusion with the new Ukrainian government. To us, the referendum is being conducting down the barrel of a Russian gun. If the UN were to conduct the same referendum, to Russia it would be conducted down the barrel of a US gun.
We also have to remember that harping on about international law has, by our own fault, become something of a joke. After conducting two illegal wars in the Middle East, we have long lost our mount on that high horse, no matter how good we might look on it – like a knight – if we ever really had it in the first place.
Not so simple
The long and storied history of the landmass in question makes a sensible end to this problem all but impossible. In reality, the land is neither Russian nor Ukrainian, but rather belonging to the Crimean Tatars. This is simple squabbling over lands mass by two groups of colonialists. Also, by granting the Ukrainian people internationally recognised self-determination; we can then take that away from ethnic Russians and come out looking sensible.
The best we can do is help Ukraine through this transition. If they are to join Europe, then we need to help them assimilate properly on a social and economic level, and any extremist elements, such as those that attacked the director of their national broadcaster, need to be dealt with before they can join a community that is supposed to promote co-operation, tolerance and freedom between peoples and nations (though Britain is actually doing a great deal to ruin that).
We also have to do something to help the Crimean Tatar people, which the international community have abjectly failed to do for so long. I don’t doubt that they will face awful repression under Putin’s Russia, and so something must be done to support and, most likely, resettle them, probably elsewhere in the Ukraine. We must ensure that they are given rights to land, are given homes and are allowed to live free and to thrive under protection of Europe and the European community.
We also need to stop being so blinkered and so closed minded. We have to stop ourselves from focussing only on the white majority part of Europe and remember there is another European nation that has been associated with and trying to join Europe for decades. This is a country that has helped, for all the incredible and criminal ills of that intervention, in the Middle East, and has been on the front line in the humanitarian side of the Syria crisis, far more so that anyone else. It’s also where there are ongoing popular demonstrations against the government and plenty of violent clashes on the street, all washed down by police brutality and unlawful killings, yet it’s a place that is rarely reported on and that gets no European Union intervention, despite being part of our community. That place is Turkey.
If we are now a world that acts for the rights, the safety and the betterment of the people in it and not solely for material or political gain, then surely foreign policy shouldn’t be a faddish as this.